NHL Eastern Conference Semi-Finals Preview

Just a quick look at the two eastern conference semi finals match ups.


Washington Capitals (1) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (5)

Washington charged through the end of the regular season. They surpassed Philadelphia to finish up first and head into the playoffs for the first time looking like a solid cup contender. Naturally goaltending questions hang over them. The still have massive fire power available to them but now they do play a more defensive minded game (a switch that is remarkable for Bruce Boudreau to pull off). The adjustments they have made them look like more like every other past Stanley Cup Champions. They rolled the Rangers in a rather unexciting manner and have been waiting for a week to see that their opponent is the Tampa Bay Lightning. Tampa Bay is back in the second round for the first time since their Stanley Cup Championship season. Led by a solid seasons by Marty St. Louis and Steven Stamkos, the Lightning have a ton of talent up front and depth. Dwayne Roloson has had a good season and a stellar playoff performance in the first round. Depending on which Washington style we see this could be a fascinating series or a rather dull series. Continue reading

NHL Western Conference Semi-Finals Preview

I have to admit I wasn’t totally thrilled about the NHL playoffs when they began. I was tuning into Jays games and NBA playoff games and flipping to the initial NHL games. I was half heartedly cheering for San Jose and Philadelphia, realizing that they were probably going to lose. Washington has decided to play New Jersey Devils style hockey and would Phoenix move to Winnipeg was more fascinating than The Amazing Datsyuk. I was frustrated at the apparent disregard that other players had for everyone heads and the lack of suspensions. The NHL’s “History Will Be Made” commercials paled to last year’s commercials and didn’t elicit the same feelings. And I couldn’t find a story line or an exciting style of play to latch on to. That all changed when I realized why the majority of people who followed hockey before basketball hate the end of the end of basketball games (there is nothing more frustrating than watching 4 timeouts called in the last minute of a game and watching very few baskets) and when I couldn’t sleep and decided to tune into Game 3 of the Sharks and Kings series.

I cheer for the Sharks because I loved Joe Thornton the season when he won the Hart Trophy. But my love for Joe Thornton probably intensified due to the fact that he such a dominating force whenever he played and yet because the Sharks would lose in the playoffs, people (usually who hadn’t bother to actually watch the game) would dismiss him as an underperformer but I knew he wasn’t because hockey (and maybe soccer) is currently the only game that you can only properly evaluate if you don’t watch the game. Advanced statistics can measure performance fairly accurately in baseball, football, and basketball relatively well but no statistics exist for hockey because play is continuous and mistakes vs. great plays are difficult to determine and only matter if a goal is scored. So if you want trash talk a player and a team in hockey make sure you actually bother to watch the game. Anyway, the Kings went up 4-0 fairly quickly in the game and it was not looking good for the Sharks. Then the Sharks realized that they were full of multiple offensive talents and decided to put them to use. They staged a comeback reminiscent of the Miracle on Manchester (incidentally that also took place in Los Angeles) when the LA Kings (in wicked yellow uniforms) came back from 5-0 deficit to defeat Gretzky’s Oilers in overtime (LA fans were obviously less happy this year). They scored 5 goals in the second period and then went on to win the game in overtime. I had forgotten how tense and amazing playoff overtime hockey was. It is the most exciting/desperate/unpredictable sports event. Nothing compares to it because it can end so suddenly. This desperation hockey that I saw has continued every day since then. Look at all of the great games we have had since then: Game 4 Capitals vs. Rangers (Caps come back from down three goals, win in 2OT), Game 4 Penguins vs. Lightning (Roloson lets in a soft goal after a tremendous game in 2OT), Game 4 Bruins vs. Canadiens (back and forth OT win), Game 5 Sabres vs. Flyers (Buffalo almost blows the game, wins in OT), Game 5 Canadiens vs. Bruins (great, great game, Horton scores in 2OT), Game 6 Flyers vs. Sabres (Flyers make a great comeback, despite pulling goalie again), Game 6 Canucks vs. Blackhawks (OT win, after Luongo doesn’t start), Game 6 Sharks vs. Kings (Sharks kill a 5 minute major and win in OT), Game 7 Blackhawks vs. Canucks (So similar to the Gold Medal game). I look at that list and there are games that I have left off but as a hockey fan cheering for my secondary teams and players there has been a fantastic game every night for the past week. It is certainly not conducive for studying. We can only hope that the Game 7s tonight are as good (I have Bruins and Lightning for the record) and that the Conference Semi-Finals bring us as many good games. That being said lets take a look at the four Western Conference teams lucky and skilled enough to advance to the next round. Continue reading

NHL Western Conference Quarter Finals Preview

Ah the NHL playoffs are finally upon us after a long and difficult regular season we are ready to anoint a “true” champion. Although the regular season clearly showed that Vancouver was the best team by a wide margin, now they have to prove it the most random, impossible to predict playoff system that the NHL has. Don’t get me wrong I love it to death but if Vancouver doesn’t even get out of the first round I think it is unfair to say that they choked/suck/ whatever you want to say. Chicago won the Cup last year and once again is a very talented team (that almost wasn’t here). Sadly we measure the best team in one of the most inefficient ways possible but hey it’s damn exciting. Sometimes I think the EPL has it right (*gasp). Last year when the Sharks got to the Conference Finals and lost, people crowed how the choked once again but in reality they were at worst the 4 best team in the league and had an outstanding season. But anything less than a Cup winning season spells failure for every team.

There are four teams of the 16 in the playoffs that don’t have a realistic shot at winning the cup: Nashville, Phoenix, Montreal, and New York Rangers. If any of those teams win I would be surprised, anyone else can easily be explained why they won it. I have had Philadelphia and San Jose going to the Cup finals since 2006 and I see little reason to change that now given that anything can happen. Let’s break every series down to the nitty-gritty and I’ll give you some keys for teams to win. It goes without saying that goaltending is important and can swing any series. The physiological advantage of having a solid goalie behind you is immeasurable but has been proven again and again to be very important. Continue reading

Idea to Make the Super Bowl More Interesting: Gambling!

Betting on the Super Bowl

People who gamble on the NHL All-star game and NFL Pro Bowl are probably people who should check into an addiction therapy center, if you lose. I brilliantly took Team Lidstrom and the over in the All-star game (you knew Toews and Thomas were going to try because they are too competitive) and the NFC and the over in the Pro Bowl (no one tries in this game but Vick, Ryan, and Brees have way more natural skill than Cassell and Peyton wasn’t going to try) and won all four bets. Thus I have a little extra money to gamble on Super Bowl prop bets for the big game on Sunday. So here are 5 great prop and otherwise bets and 7 fun/I have a gambling problem bets that I will be wagering on this weekend.

The thing about prop bets is that more often than not you’re going to lose money on them but you’re going to have a lot of fun cheering for them to happen during the game so I wouldn’t gamble too heavily on them but a little money goes along way to having fun. All lines and bets can be found on http://www.sportsbook.com and try to enjoy yourself this weekend watching the Super Bowl with ignorant non-football fans who are more excited about the half time show or even worse the commercials. There is something a little sick about cheering for good advertising as if it is a luxury. Good advertising should be the standard not the exception. Anyway… Continue reading

NFL Week 14 Picks

A poor gambling week for yours truly who, although killing it in my picks last week, managed to lose an improbable sixth team teaser (I’m a sucker I know) because the Chargers couldn’t cover a minus 7 spread. Really San Diego? Just when I get on the bandwagon and the Raiders finally looked like they were dead team that they were supposed to be, they come out and put the beat down on a statistically impressive Chargers team. I hate Oakland.

Luckily I made some money back by betting heavily on New England on Monday Night because that was a no-brainer. Patriots with a long prep week and Sanchez in miserable conditions that are far from ideal equals money in the bank. The marquee match-up this week has to the Patriots at Bears but there are two games with bigger implications and may be more interesting to watch; Raiders at Jaguars and Chiefs at Chargers. Other than that there aren’t too many games really worth tuning into unless you have money on the line. And that is why the NFL is far more popular than any other major sport because gambling is so easy and rampant. So let’s get started on making some money this week. Home team is in CAPS and line is provided by http://www.sportsbook.com. Continue reading

NFL Week 13 Picks

I’m going to suggest that the playoff picture got remarkably clearer after last week. In the AFC it would be a surprise if the Jets, Patriots, Steelers, and Ravens didn’t get in leaving the Chiefs and Chargers in a good battle for the West and the Colts looking like they will come out of the South even though everyone in that division is still close. The West division will be very close because both teams have an easy schedule to close out the season and it is possible that the Kansas City @ San Diego game in Week 14 will determine the winner of that division. My money is own the Chargers to pull out the division win but I have been underestimating Kansas City since the beginning of the season and it would be just like them to throw a monkey wrench into what could possibly be one of the strongest group of playoff teams that we have seen in a while.

The NFC is a bit murkier, thanks to the pathetic NFC West. I like St. Louis to emerge from that quagmire of crappy teams and they may even get a home playoff game but I don’t like any of that division against the remaining NFC playoff teams. Atlanta (thanks to its incredible play at home) looks to take the very competitive NFC South with New Orleans right behind them and should take the first wild card spot. Tampa Bay remains somewhat of a question mark. They have played good teams tight but have yet to beat a team currently over .500. They will be in a tight race with the either the Giants or Eagles and either the Bears or Packers. Gun to my head, I think that the Giants and Buccaneers fall back from the group and your NFC playoff teams are the Eagles, Rams, Packers, Falcons, Saints, and Bears. Not a bad group outside of St. Louis.

Either way the end of the season is shaping up to be quite interesting and given that the majority of the games left are divisional games we should see have much better viewing options available to us than that pathetic Monday night game between the Cardinals and 49ers. With the playoff picture in our minds lets get onto our Week 13 Picks. As always the Home Team is in CAPS and the spread is courtesy of http://www.sportsbook.com Continue reading

Week 12 NFL Picks

I can’t believe that it is week 12 already. This season is flying by. Last week we saw the contenders really pull away and the playoff pictures is certainly clearer except in the pathetic NFC West where the division winner has a real shot at going 7-9 which would be really embarrassing. It is entirely possible this weekends Grey Cup winner could have won that division. The best part is, that this is your Monday Night game. How pissed off would you be if you’re ESPN. Relax they will still make a ton of money anyway.

Last week I did pretty well all things considering. I nailed three parlays which somehow all hinged on the Chargers beating the Broncos, which they did in ridiculous fashion.

Same thing as usual, home teams will be in CAPS, line is from www.sportsbook.com. Continue reading

NFL Week 11 Picks

No more bye weeks is awesome if you like football because you are almost always guaranteed a good game. There are lots of good games this week so lets get straight to it. Home teams will be in CAPS, line is from www.sportsbook.com Continue reading

NFL Week 10 Picks

Half the NFL season has passed us and after winning my office pool for three weeks and finally finding myself in the money after one perfect parlay (note never parlay Patriots vs. Browns it will screw you) I have decided that my picks may in fact not be that bad, I just needed some time to warm up.

If you feel like a stud handicapper than I would suggest heading to www.sportsbook.com it has a perfect parlay game set up where you can guess the spread winners and if you get all of them right you win $100,000. No cost to sign up.

Home teams will be in CAPS, line is from http://www.sportsbook.com, and here we go. Continue reading

NFL Week 4 Picks

Finally after three weeks we are closer to knowing what is going in this league. For one we know that kickers suck and will always try to screw our teams and two there are a lot of terrible teams this year. That being said I like some underdogs this week. Anything can happen any given Sunday after all. Continue reading