Since the introduction of the fantasy draft format in the NHL All-Star Game, we’ve been having fun with the format by drafting our own teams. Let’s cap off our coverage with a statistical analysis of who would have won if our two teams had actually faced off. Our readers were pretty split as to whether Jackie or Steve had selected the superior group of All-Stars. But let’s dissect the teams with some fancy maths to find out whose team was most likely to win the big game.
Let’s take a look at the two rosters and their stats from the real NHL All-Star Game.
Team Steve
Tyler Seguin (DAL) – 2 G, 2 A, +1
Steven Stamkos (TBL) – 2 G, 1 A, +1
Jakub Voracek (PHI) – 3 G, 3 A, +2
Rick Nash (NYR) – 2 G, 0 A, +1
Jonathan Toews (CHI) – 1 G, 4 A, +/- 0
Claude Giroux (PHI) – 1 G, 2 A, -3
Zemgus Girgensons (BUF) – 0 G, 0 A, -1
Anze Kopitar (LAK) – 0 G, 0 A, +/- 0
Ryan Johansen (CBJ) – 2 G, 2 A, +/- 0, MVP
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (EDM) – 0 G, 2 A, -2
Radim Vrbata (VAN) – 1 G, 1 A, -2
Patrice Bergeron (BOS) – 1 G, 4 A, +4
Kevin Shattenkirk (STL) – 1 G, 1 A, -2
Brent Seabrook (CHI) – 0 G, 1 A, +3
Mark Giordano (CGY) – 0 G, 1 A, +6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (ARI) – 0 G, 1 A, -5
Justin Faulk (CAR) – 0 G, 2 A, -3
Aaron Ekblad (FLA) – 0 G, 4 A, -2
Carey Price (MTL) – 4 GA, 0.750 Sv%
Roberto Luongo (FLA) – 4 GA, 0.765 Sv%
Brian Elliott (STL) – 6 GA, 0.600 Sv%
Team Jackie
Ryan Getzlaf (ANA) – 1 G, 1 A, +1
John Tavares (NYI) – 4 G, 0 A, +2
Alex Ovechkin (WAS) – 0 G, 3 A, +/- 0
Vladimir Tarasenko (STL) – 0 G, 4 A, -1
Tyler Johnson (TBL) – DNP (Injured)
Patrick Kane (CHI) – 2 G, 1 A, +1
Phil Kessel (TOR) – 0 G, 1 A, -4
Bobby Ryan (OTT) – 1 G, 1 A, +1
Nick Foligno (CBJ) – 1 G, 1 A, -1
Patrick Elias (NJD) – 0 G, 2 A, +5
Filip Forsberg (NSH) – 2 G, 0 A, +/- 0
Johnny Gaudreau (CGY) – 0 G, 2 A, +/- 0
Brent Burns (SJS) – 1 G, 0 A, -1
Dustin Byfuglien (WPG) – 0 G, 1 A, -5
Shea Weber (NSH) – 0 G, 1 A, +4
Drew Doughty (LAK) – 0 G, 1 A, +2
Duncan Keith (CHI) – 0 G, 1 A, +1
Ryan Suter (MIN) – 1 G, 1 A, +2
Jaroslav Halak (NYI) – 4 GA, 0.600 Sv%
Marc-Andre Fleury (PIT) – 7 GA, 0.563 Sv%
Corey Crawford (CHI) – 4 GA, 0.778 Sv%
Statistical Comparison
Team Steve Forwards: 15 G, 21 A, 36 P, +1
Team Jackie Forwards: 11 G, 16 A, 27, P, +4
Team Steve Defensemen: 1 G, 10 A, 11 P, -3
Team Jackie Defensemen: 2 G, 5 A, 7 P, +3
Team Steve Goalies: 14 GA, 14.00 GAA, 0.708 Sv%
Team Jackie Goalies: 15 GA, 15.00 GAA, 0.659 Sv%
So the stats have been compiled but the picture isn’t entirely clear once you go through them. Sure, Team Jackie is a little behind on scoring but they’re also one player short at forward. That didn’t stop Team Jackie from being the superior defensive team with a 9 point better plus/minus.
So who do you think would have won the hypothetical battle between Team Jackie and Team Steve?