F1 2010 Season Preview: Predictions

It’s time for the third and final part of our Formula One season preview. With the examination of the teams, drivers, and new rules out of the way, it’s time to put all of the information we have together for predictions for the 2010 season. Of course, the combination of the new rules, the new points system, and testing times not necessarily being an accurate portrayal of who’s fast make predicting the season an difficult proposition. However, as we like to say around here: We’re ambitious but rubbish.

World Drivers’ Championship

  1. Mark Webber
  2. Felipe Massa
  3. Sebastian Vettel
  4. Fernando Alonso
  5. Michael Schumacher

From the way testing has gone this pre-season, it looks as though the season will come down to Red Bull and Ferrari. Testing times aren’t the most reliable basis for comparison but the two teams are fairly close on performance. I give the nod to Webber for the title because I think the Red Bull is the slightly faster car and Webber is the more consistent of the two RBR drivers. Of the Ferrari boys, I like Massa. He’s seemed faster than Alonso in testing and is probably the hungrier of the two drivers to win a championship after missing the second half of the 2009 season. Michael Schumacher is my pick for the best of the rest. The Mercedes looked slower than the McLaren in testing but the seven-time world champion is the best of the Mercedes powered drivers with the only possible challenge coming from Lewis Hamilton.

World Constructors’ Championship

  1. Red Bull-Renault
  2. Ferrari
  3. Mercedes Grand Prix
  4. McLaren-Mercedes
  5. Force India-Mercedes

As I said above, I think that the RB6 has a slight edge over the F60 on speed heading into the season. Based on that, I have to take Red Bull Racing to win their first constructors’ title. While Ferrari has been developing this car since last summer, Red Bull had an early advantage because of how strong the RB5 was without a properly integrated double diffuser. This year’s legal double diffusers and the greater length of the car gives Adrian Newey all sorts of freedom to work his magic that he didn’t have last year. As I also stated above, I think that Mercedes will be able to outhustle McLaren to the third spot in the constructors’ table. The fifth spot is going to be closely contested because of how close things look between Williams, Force India, and Sauber. All three teams have taken turns as the best of the rest in pre-season testing. However, given that they have some success from 2009 to build on, I like Force India to finish 5th. They’ve got a better downforce package than last year which was all that they needed to fix from last year. With that issue resolved, they’re looking good for 2010 and won’t be backmarkers much this year.

2010 Formula One Preview Series
Part 1: Teams
Part 2: New Rules
Part 3: Predictions

4 thoughts on “F1 2010 Season Preview: Predictions

  1. If you think it’s going to be down to Red Bull and Ferrari, I think Vettel has it over Webber. I’m also looking forward to seeing how Ross Brawn and Mercedes GP will workout with old Schumi and Rossberg. I wouldn’t discount them from winning Constructor’s. Oh, and TSN’s coverage SUCKS again in 2010, that and Rogers, in its infinite wisdom has decided that Speed channel’s coverage should be blacked out. How’s that work? Maybe the money being spent to black-out Speed’s coverage should be spent on improving TSN’s broadcast.

    Cheers.

    P.S. I’ve never been to your blog before, but happened upon it in the midst of typing an angry e-mail to TSN. You mentioned that TSN often didn’t even show the driver interviews last year, or the audio was screwed up (I think this was from a blog post last year). I didn’t have Speed last year so I had to suffer through those bumbles. Also, there was at least one race last year where TSN didn’t have an audio feed for probably the first 15 minutes of the race.

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    • Well, I’ll admit to watching quali on TSN2 on delay (under the weather and dragging this week) and say it wasn’t that bad. There weren’t any breaks during the running and only short breaks b/t sessions so it flowed well. I’ll reserve judgment on TSN until I actually see a race, though.

      Anyway, I seem to think that TSN would be behind any blackout of Speed coverage. They have the license to broadcast in Canada so I guess under the terms of their agreement with the FOM, they can get Speed blocked. I think there’s a similar deal in Mexico. If you do have an email address for someone at TSN, could you leave it in a comment here? I’ll run it prominently in my next F1 post. Every Canadian F1 fan should have it so we can start a campaign to get proper F1 coverage.

      Cheers,
      Steve

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  2. I don’t think specific contacts are published, my e-mail went to audiencerelations@tsn.ca. You can also phone them, their number, 416-384-7660 is posted on TSN.ca. I watched quali this morning as well. Their programming is sufficient, however Speed was offering 90 minutes this morning, while TSN offered only the re-broadcast of the BBC coverage of the one hour qualifying itself. I guess I’m missing the banter and interviews that comes between sessions or before or after the race. BBC apparently has an extended programme leading into qualifying as well as on race day (I can only cite Wikipedia here, since I haven’t seen a full BBC broadcast, but I’ve also read about this briefly in various forums). My only wish would be that if TSN can’t produce a pre-race show of their own, why not carry the BBC coverage in full, if that’s possible. Seeing the race and qualifying is great, but expert analysis and interviews pre-season and pre-race add significantly to the entertainment value.

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